However, biases and distortion produce a false reality,
the repulsion in between actual reality and false reality will take place
somewhere in the future for the gap has widen so much that facts are already
far behind the supposed-equilibrium, needless to mention the supposed actual
course of outcome. This will imminently bring to a correction that is so much
needed for the placement of actual reality into the outcome that it is supposed
to be, albeit already late.
Explaining equilibrium, it is that theorists generally
assume people have perfect knowledge, perfect timing as well as perfect
decision making and perfect rationality. This ultimately is not, to be precise,
even possible or exist in the world of ours that on the appearance appear to be
relatively easy but utmost complex in terms of specification. This proves it
renders theories that require ceteris paribus, or equilibrium or perfect
assumption invalid in the sense of practicability in the real world. Such
easily falsifiable theory holds but untruthful rationale of human thinking.
The result:
The result created by each and every individual could be
different or same each depending on their perceptions and degree of biases
& distortions held in relation to knowledge & facts available to them.
It must be known that people generally cannot know what others are thinking
about in full. Also, the underlying types and degree of biases &
distortions they have in decision making process cannot be known in full too.
The lack of existence of mutual understanding in between
people’s notion creates differences in each and every decision individual
makes, for the decision is perceived to have sustained one’s competitive
advantage the others do not see or do not see. The competitive advantage one
reckons he has is also not equivalent to the competitive advantage the others
have.
Explaining this, it is also important for people to know
that the degree of competitive advantage is also largely different. For
example, the competitive advantage of A is 1 whilst the competitive advantage
of B is 1+2. A does not know B’s competitive advantage and B does not know A’s
competitive advantage. A reckons his competitive advantages is the best for he
himself whilst B reckons his competitive advantage is best for himself. But it
could be that A actually has lower competitive advantage compared to B and vice
versa depending on situations and factors taken into consideration. But of all,
the general understanding is that individual does not know the type and degree
of competitive advantage of each other.
Does the difference in decision making then, helps to
create a wider gap in between underlying reality compared to distorted facts?
This is a question worth pondering at. The abstract answer for this lies
unknown when facing different situations. In some situations, I believe the gap
can be reduced. And in some other situations, the gap can be widened. The
notion to this result is that the distortion may favors the underlying actually
reality or repels it further from reality. This is due to that the complexity
of little components that people included when creating a perception of their
own is inexplicable.
Coming to this, it is important to adhere the
significance of certain criteria when making a decision, that is, the usual
facts that people perceive as the main driver of any possible prevailing event.
The significance of the main drivers will help to widen or reduce the gap in
between outcome and underlying reality, which can be taken as a probability of
prevalence. This main driver is sort of like a ground rule to make any further
progress to decision making.
The thinking involves too much of complexity that one is
not even aware of, but for every notion one has, it certainly has generated
certain justifiable reasons for people to adopt it be it correct or incorrect
in the knowledge of others. It is at least, correct in the eye of beholder.
Understanding this can aid people in realizing the biases they might have and
also the distortions they might have in brain with intermediate probability
depending on one’s level of revelation.
How then, one realizes about the actual course of
underlying reality? This proves to be very vague, because the perception of
everyone, I believe, underlies a certain degree of truth and reality. And there
certainly has no way to measure or justify it by full definition. The truth is
then, I shall say, always skewed and hence there never was equilibrium.
Probably also, there could be nothing hold as truth, or
the truth only holds a second long, for the subject of a matter and its factors
changes every split second in the modern world. However, I sincerely believe a
degree of truthfulness of any circumstance do exist, by also incorporating the
notion of opportunity cost.
To sum up in this chapter, I would say that perfect
understanding or interpretation of information do not exist, the existence is
only the degree to which it is skewed from the truth, for the rationality of
every single individual is flawed and limited. This makes biases and
distortions imminent.
Reflexivity_ Cont'
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